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Lester
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[*] posted on 8-9-2017 at 01:19
Fundamental analysis


Fundamental analysis

We like value investing, to buy shares cheaply, with P/E below 15, P/B below 3.0, P/S below 3.0.

If we want to sell the shares after one year with a profit, the enterprise or bank should expect that the earnings will grow more than 20% in the next 4 quarters.

Also, the dividend should be paid, because even stocks with growth potential may be a year in the red and then it is boring, to be one year without dividend. In retirement, we want to receive an income higher from dividends than from the pension insurance. Here we will buy cheaply blue chip shares from old and large enterprises and banks, which the past 12 years approximately 10% per year increased revenues, earnings and dividends. When we buy these shares, they must have a dividend yield over 3.0% and we will keep them forever.
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[*] posted on 10-9-2017 at 02:50


Shares undervalued or shares overvalued today: always the stupid problem of people with high education. It has no sense to observe the average P/E ratio of shares in the index S&P500. The P/E of the index is so stupid idea like the average fever of patients in a clinic - it has no sense. Only stupid investors will invest in the index S&P500, no matter when. You must any time, always know that some shares are too expensive (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Johnson & Johnson, Netflix, Pfizer, Procter & Gamble, Snap, Tesla, Twitter) and some shares are cheap (AT&T, Banco Bilbao, Banco Santander, BASF, BMW, Iberdrola, Lloyds Banking Group, Munich Re, Royal Dutch Shell, Telefonica). Among the P/E we must observe also P/S, P/B, indebtedness and BUY ONLY SHARES WITH MORE THAN 3% DIVIDEND YIELD.
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Mary Ann
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[*] posted on 12-9-2017 at 02:48


Low priced shares in the index Stoxx50
Reasonable is, to buy shares with P/E under 15, P/S under 3, P/B under 3, dividend yield above 3%.
Important is also the earnings growth expected from the analyst, but analysts are wrong in this.

These statistics fit more under the discussion topic ''Stocks for the year 2017'', but among these stocks are also some names, which we can hold forever only for dividends.

Glencore PE 11, PS 0.3, PB 1.2, dividend 3.5%
Lloyds Banking Group PE 13, PS 2.6, PB 1.1, dividend 4.1%
National Grid PE 15, PS 2.1, PB 3.0, dividend 4.5%
Rio Tinto PE 8, PS 2.0, PB 1.9, dividend 5.6%
Royal Dutch Shell PE 15, PS 0.7, PB 1.7, dividend 7.0%
UBS Group PE 15, PS 2.0, PB 1.1, dividend 3.9%
Zurich Insurance PE 13, PS 0.8, PB 1.4, dividend 6.0%

Today low priced shares in the index Eurostoxx50
Ahold Delhaize PE 16, PS 0.4, PB 1.5, dividend 3.1%
AXA PE 9, PS 0.6, PB 0.9, dividend 5.1%
Banco Bilbao PE 11, PS 1.9, PB 1.0, dividend 3.3%
Banco Santander PE 13, PS 1.8, PB 1.0, dividend 3.6%
BNP Paribas PE 12, PS 1.8, PB 0.9, dividend 4.7%
Enel PE 14, PS 0.6, PB 1.4, dividend 4.1%
Engie PE 14, PS 0.5, PB 0.8, dividend 5.1%
Iberdrola PE 16, PS 1.4, PB 1.2, dividend 4.6%
Intesa Sanpaolo PE 12, PS 2.5, PB 0.9, dividend 8.2%
Orange PE 15, PS 1.0, PB 1.3, dividend 5.0%
Sanofi PE 12, PS 2.9, PB 1.9, dividend 3.5%
Societe Generale PE 10, PS 1.5, PB 0.6, dividend 4.9%
Telefonica PE 14, PS 0.9, PB 2.8, dividend 4.0%
Total PE 12, PS 0.7, PB 1.2, dividend 5.5%

Today low priced stocks in the index DAX
Allianz PE 11, PS 0.6, PB 1.2, dividend 4.4%
BASF PE 16, PS 1.2, PB 2.7, dividend 3.5%
BMW PE 8, PS 0.5, PB 1.2, dividend 4.1%
Daimler PE 7, PS 0.4, PB 1.3, dividend 5.0%
Lufthansa PE 7, PS 0.3, PB 1.3, dividend 2.7%
Munich Re PE 12, PS 0.5, PB 0.9, dividend 4.8%
Siemens PE 16, PS 1.2, PB 3.0, dividend 2.9%

Today low priced stocks in the USA from companies with the market capitalization above 100 billion USD
AT&T P/E 17, P/S 1.5, P/B 1.9, dividend 5.1%
Bank of America P/E 13, P/S 2.5, P/B 1.0, dividend 1.7%
Cisco Systems P/E 16, P/S 3.2, P/B 2.5, dividend 3.8%
Citigroup P/E 12, P/S 2.4, P/B 0.9, dividend 1.2%
Intel P/E 14, P/S 2.7, P/B 2.5, dividend 3.1%
Wells Fargo P/E 13, P/S 2.8, P/B 1.6, dividend 2.8%

Other low priced American blue chips shares
Archer Daniels Midland P/E 16, P/S 0.4, P/B 1.4, dividend 3.2%
Dow Chemical P/E 16, P/S 1.4, P/B 2.9, dividend 2.9%
Exelon P/E 17, P/S 1.1, P/B 1.3, dividend 3.6%
Ford Motor P/E 7, P/S 0.3, P/B 1.4, dividend 5.7%
General Motors P/E 6, P/S 0.3, P/B 1.1, dividend 4.4%
Principal Financ. Group P/E, P/S 1.5, P/B 1.7, dividend 3.0%
Target P/E, P/S 0.5, P/B 2.9, dividend 4.6%
Valero Energy P/E, P/S 0.4, P/B 1.5, dividend 4.3%
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Lester
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[*] posted on 19-11-2017 at 03:16


When will the undervalued stock never grow:
The stock will stay some years down and undervalued, if nobody wants to buy this stock, everybody wants to sell, because the net income of the company is long time negative (like by Tesla) and the company is going bankrupt (like Air Berlin or Solarworld). This one stock is undervalued with P/B and P/S, but not with P/E. In this case is the P/E some hundred or NA (= negative). So the stock of Tesla should be undervalued, but it is strongly overpriced, for the stupid interest of trading computers, day traders or silly people.
The second case of long time undervalued stock is that the incomes and sales of company go down yet some years.
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We like value investing, to buy shares cheaply, with P/E below 15, P/B below 3.0, P/S below 3.0. If we want to sell the shares after one year with a profit, the enterprise or bank should expect that the earnings will grow more than 20% in the next 4 quarters. Also, the dividend should be paid, because even stocks with growth potential may be a year in the red and then it is boring, to be one year without dividend. In retirement, we want to receive an income higher from dividends than from the pension insurance. Here we will buy cheaply blue chip shares from old and large enterprises and banks, which the past 12 years approximately 10% per year increased revenues, earnings and dividends. When we buy these shares, they must have a dividend yield over 3.0% and we will keep them forever. After us, our kids will inherit them. Most of these shares are in the indices Dow Jones, Eurostoxx50, Stoxx50 and DAX.




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